Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.405924 0.444331 0.485366 0.532575 0.585510 0.643175 0.710939
2025-11-30 0.344096 0.397957 0.459522 0.535538 0.627477 0.735842 0.874361
2025-12-07 0.303036 0.363271 0.435247 0.528454 0.647213 0.795176 0.996181
2025-12-14 0.273360 0.337019 0.415798 0.521778 0.662656 0.846429 1.109250
2025-12-21 0.245677 0.309770 0.391357 0.504581 0.660454 0.871775 1.187546
2025-12-28 0.232711 0.299826 0.387621 0.513219 0.692221 0.944450 1.338556
2026-01-04 0.220926 0.290157 0.382953 0.519397 0.720103 1.013189 1.490731
2026-01-11 0.209740 0.280238 0.376826 0.522426 0.742900 1.075692 1.639747
2026-01-18 0.199526 0.270796 0.370421 0.524091 0.763160 1.135453 1.790685
2026-01-25 0.191314 0.263533 0.366429 0.528682 0.787794 1.203802 1.963819
2026-02-01 0.179814 0.250724 0.353351 0.518166 0.787182 1.230344 2.066181
2026-02-08 0.173133 0.244552 0.349665 0.521819 0.809543 1.297040 2.249469
2026-02-15 0.164845 0.235614 0.341381 0.517774 0.819138 1.343389 2.402464
2026-02-22 0.158804 0.229741 0.337446 0.520463 0.840387 1.412564 2.610305
2026-03-01 0.151131 0.220896 0.328252 0.513625 0.844129 1.449649 2.757487
2026-03-08 0.144163 0.212770 0.319696 0.507176 0.847842 1.486726 2.909569
2026-03-15 0.135621 0.201724 0.305806 0.490562 0.831481 1.483135 2.971522
2026-03-22 0.132690 0.199503 0.306206 0.498908 0.862258 1.575789 3.265492
2026-03-29 0.129482 0.196647 0.305351 0.504876 0.888889 1.662729 3.560571
2026-04-05 0.125913 0.193009 0.302945 0.507801 0.909717 1.739627 3.844222
2026-04-12 0.122330 0.189168 0.299964 0.509410 0.927957 1.812798 4.131205
2026-04-19 0.119438 0.186341 0.298565 0.513844 0.952246 1.901915 4.476736
2026-04-26 0.114327 0.179520 0.289820 0.503687 0.945295 1.919310 4.628510